Dow leads broader rally after soft jobs report, Apple earnings triumph


US stocks surged on Friday, as upbeat earnings from Apple (AAPL) lifted spirits and a weaker-than-expected jobs report revived bets that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates sooner than thought.

Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) futures jumped 1.3%, or more than 450 points, while S&P 500 (^GSPC) futures rose 1.1%. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) were up roughly 1.6%. All three gauges are poised to build on sharp closing gains from Thursday.

The April jobs report painted a picture of a cooling US labor market, as employers added 175,000 jobs and the unemployment rate unexpectedly jumped to 3.9%. Economists had expected an addition of 240,000 jobs.

The report pushed up bets on a sooner-than-expected rate cut from the Fed. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders saw a roughly 50-50 chance of a cut at its July meeting, up sharply from Thursday.

Read more: What the Fed rate decision means for bank accounts, CDs, loans, and credit cards

Meanwhile, Apple was the star of the corporates Friday, as its quarterly profit beat expectations and it surprised investors with better revenue out of China than estimated in the face of reports of flagging iPhone sales.

While CEO Tim Cook talked up Apple’s plans for AI development — a key focus this earnings season — it was the company’s plans for a $110 billion stock buyback, the biggest in US history, that captured the market’s attention. Apple shares rose almost 7% in early trading, buoying the Dow.

The blue-chip index is also seeing a boost from heavyweight Amgen (AMGN), whose shares soared 13% as comments by its CEO suggested its obesity drug could take on market leaders from Novo Nordisk (NVO).

Live2 updates

  • The Dow jumps 500 points in morning trading

    A weaker than expected jobs report rekindled hopes on Wall Street that the Fed will eventually cut rates this year, as the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%, offering central bank officials a signal that their current restrictive policy is still impacting the economy.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) jumped 1.5%, or more than 500 points, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 1.2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) increased roughly 1.9%. All three gauges are poised to build on sharp closing gains from Thursday.

  • The valuation debate on Apple

    Let the valuation debate on Apple’s (AAPL) stock begin after a soft quarter and ahead of some AI catalysts soon. (I am calling the quarter soft even as the sell-side is overlooking all sales declines and focusing only on amazing Apple things)

    Loop Capital’s Ananda Baruah with a good point on this one:

    “The stock isn’t “expensive” per se… but not screaming cheap either. It’s tough to discern if valuation is friend or foe currently, given Apple is trading more in the middle of its recent trading range but with fundamentals softer. Our hunch is that near-term stock dynamics could be variable, with the second half of the year stock dynamics being more “contextual” given that there doesn’t currently seem to be as much estimate variability vs. Wall Street, and that Aplle has the potential to generate news on Gen AI and on AR/VR (i.e. VisionPro), two areas that could prove to be catalysts.”

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