Trump wins landslide as Haley and DeSantis scrap for second


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As widely expected, former President Donald Trump cruised to an easy victory in Monday’s chilly Iowa caucuses, the opening salvo of the 2024 GOP nominating contest. The rout further cements Trump’s status as the most likely candidate to face off against President Biden, a Democrat, in November’s general election.

The Associated Press called Iowa for Trump at 8:32 PM ET — just half an hour after the caucuses began.

Votes are still being counted in the much closer — and more suspenseful — battle for second place between Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who later served as United Nations ambassador under Trump.

Haley, DeSantis continue to compete for second place

Once seen as the GOP’s likeliest Trump slayer — he — DeSantis .

He has long staked his comeback on a strong showing in the Hawkeye State, visiting all 99 counties, landing the coveted endorsements of Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds and evangelical leader Bob Vander Plaats and organizing his supporters to knock on nearly a million doors.

Yet Haley — who had been — rocketed ahead of DeSantis in the state’s final surveys after several solid debate performances.

Seeking a knockout punch, Haley’s campaign and her allied super PAC combined to : a full $7.8 million compared to $6.1 million for DeSantis and just $3.5 million for Trump.

Former President Donald Trump speaks at a rally at Simpson College in Indianola, Iowa. (AP/Andrew Harnik)

Can DeSantis’s campaign survive his Iowa performance?

For DeSantis, even a narrow loss to Haley would come as a devastating blow. In New Hampshire — which holds its primary next Tuesday, Jan. 23 — the Floridian (who averages 6% in the polls there) trails far behind both Haley (30%) and Trump (43%).

Demands for DeSantis to drop out and allow anti-Trump Republicans to consolidate around Haley would become defeaning if he finishes third in Iowa.

In contrast, squeaking out a second-place finish would give DeSantis a reason to continue campaigning in New Hampshire and possibly beyond, splitting the party’s anti-Trump vote.

To that end, DeSantis finance chair Roy Bailey said Monday that the campaign has “” — the big pileup of 15 GOP primaries on March 5 — assuming they “have the success I think we can have in Iowa and exceed expectations.”

Yet Bailey also admitted “it would be tough” to keep going “if we don’t have a really good night.”

Either way, it’s Trump who will emerge from Iowa in the best position. Any questions raised about his appeal to the state’s largely white evangelical primary electorate — who chose Texas Sen. Ted Cruz over the Manhattan real-estate billionaire in 2016 — were quashed by Monday’s results.

Why Iowa went for Trump

Despite lower-than-usual turnout due to weather, an estimated 120,000 Iowans still braved snowy, subzero conditions to caucus — and the lion’s share caucused for a figure who faces four criminal trials on 91 felony charges ranging from election interference to hoarding classified documents.

Why? , a full three-quarters of Iowa caucusgoers said the charges against Trump are political attempts to undermine him rather than legitimate attempts to investigate important issues.

Nearly two-thirds of respondents to said that Trump would still be fit to serve as president if convicted of a crime — more than double the number who said the opposite. And among white evangelicals, Trump’s support — just 22% in 2016 — soared to 53% this time around.

Meanwhile, the latest general-election polling averages .

“I’m here in part out of spite,” Marc Smiarowski, a 44-year-old public utility worker, . “I can’t abandon him. After what they did to him in the last election, and the political persecution he faces, I feel like I owe him this.”

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