The NBA may boast the most talent it’s ever had. There are all-time greats still dominating (LeBron James, Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant) and one-of-a-kind rookies (Chet Holmgren and Victor Wembanyama). The league has 30 teams and only a few (Detroit, Washington, Portland) are devoid of an All-Star or a surefire future one.
In short, the NBA is robust. That also makes it the perfect time for expansion, something NBA commissioner Adam Silver says the league intends to explore when its current media rights deals ends in 2025. But where would the league look, and what are its best options? The first stage of expansion would probably be for two more teams but a couple more in the years after that is not out of the question.
With global basketball leagues flourishing and the 2024 Paris Olympics coming up, there is a lot to consider. So, let’s look at a selection (and please note that the list is not exhaustive – this is a mix of moonshots, possibles and probables) going from least to most likely.
10) Dakar, Senegal
The league has already established the NBA Academy Africa a few hours’ drive away in Saly, and the facility will continue to grow its footprint in the country and, perhaps, the continent. The NBA has also established the Basketball Africa League and players such as Joel Embiid and Hakeem Olajuwon have raised the profile of the game on the continent. But while an African franchise is decades away at best, the NBA, which loves to view itself as a global enterprise, should at least consider establishing a team in Africa. Dakar’s position in west Africa also puts it closer to the States than cities such as Nairobi or Cape Town. Other global wildcards include Buenos Aires, Rio de Janeiro and Beijing, which have huge NBA fanbases but would be tricky because of political or logistical challenges.
Chances of a franchise: 0% in the near future. But with Africa’s young population and the NBA’s increased foothold, there could be a team on the continent towards the end of the century.
9) Nashville, Tennessee
Nashville has long been bandied about by those in inner NBA circles. When a city already has a professional hockey arena, as Nashville does, the move could be made easily. The problem for Music City, though, is that its population isn’t especially large and the Memphis Grizzlies, located 220 miles away, probably wouldn’t be happy about losing market-share in the Volunteer State.
Chances of a franchise: 5%. It won’t happen in the next round of expansion but Nashville should continue to hold out hope as it’s one of only a handful of North American cities that could see a team sooner than later.
8) Madrid, Spain
There are many great basketball leagues in Europe. What started in Italy has grown to areas like Turkey, the Balkans, Greece, Russia and Spain. And while the Real Madrid basketball team may not quite have the heft of the football team, it competes in the strongest competitions outside North America. The team has also employed future NBA stars such as Luka Dončić, Dražen Petrović and Serge Ibaka.
Chances of a franchise: 5%. Expansion outside North America seems unlikely in the short-term: the time difference would create problems and the powerful Real Madrid organization’s influence could help keep the NBA out of its back yard. But European expansion has to be on the minds of league officials and while football will always be king in Spain, basketball has a strong following.
7) Louisville, Kentucky
Kentucky loves hoops, whether you’re talking the University of Kentucky in Lexington or the University of Louisville. The city was also home to the ABA’s Kentucky Colonels in the 1960s and 1970s. A new team in the state would serve a big local need. But the area just doesn’t seem populated enough to support a franchise.
Chances of a franchise: 10%. Like Nashville, there is low likelihood of this happening soon. But since there are so few other US options (Omaha? Jacksonville?) and the region is basketball crazy, it’s not impossible.
6) Paris, France
This is where things get really interesting. Paris has a huge population and a love affair with basketball. France also boasts several big name NBA players, from Hall of Famer Tony Parker to the league’s next big star, Victor Wembanyama, who would make tremendous ambassadors. In 2024, the city will host actual NBA games, as well as the Olympics, which itself will feature some of basketball’s biggest names. With popularity on the rise and the league always looking to expand, it wouldn’t shock us if Paris was on the shortest of shortlists for new sites.
Chances of a franchise: 20% within the next decade. Time zones and travel would be the biggest hurdles. But if a team were to surface in Paris and Madrid, then maybe one or two more in European cities not long after, it would give the league a potential new European division and viable multi-city road trips abroad. Heck, the distance from Paris to New York City isn’t much longer than the Big Apple to LA.
5) Vancouver, British Columbia
The city was once home to an NBA franchise, the Grizzlies, before the team moved to Memphis in 2001. And if another city (Seattle) on this list gets a team, that would set up a Pacific corridor from Vancouver down to Portland, which the NBA would most likely fancy. Vancouver, is a favorite city among NBA players, the Raptors have shown a team outside the US can win the title, there are some brilliant Canadian players in the league, and any team could share an arena with the NHL’s Vancouver Canucks. Seems like a win-win.